Weekend Premier League betting tips: Three odds-against angles

The EPL odds continue to overstimate Everton and underrate Nottm Forest



11 months ago

The Premier League season enters its fourth matchweek and the bookies’ opinions about the certain teams’ season-long hopes are beginning to crystalise.

Our EPL betting tips are targeting two such outfits the Betzone odds compilers look to have misplaced their trust or distrust in ahead of this weekend’s coupon.

Premier League predictions: Matchweek 4

Sheffield United to beat Everton draw no bet @ 21/20
Nottm Forest (+1) to beat Chelsea @ 21/10
Man City (-2) vs Fulham @ 5/4

Bet on the latest Premier League odds with Betzone

Toffees have no right to be favourites at Bramall Lane

Sheffield United haven’t exactly started the EPL campaign in all-conquering form, losing by the odd goal in each of their three league games to date against Palace, Forest and Man City.

Yet Everton have arguably been worse still, with a 4-0 loss at Aston Villa the filling in a sandwich of 1-0 home losses to fellow relegation candidates Fulham and Wolves.

The Blades look to be value at near 2/1 to win after getting within five mins (plus injury time) of drawing with the champions in their last Steel City league game – not least because the Toffees have yet to net in top- flight action this term. At odds-against with draw no bet they’re a steal.

Tip: Sheffield United to beat Everton draw no bet @ 21/20

Chelsea voyage of discovery to falter against Tricky Trees

Nottingham Forest continue to be underestimated on the road on the back of their reprehensible away form last term, but they’ve already lost by just one goal at Arsenal and Man Utd in 2023/24.

Despite those close-margin defeats they’re priced up at 13/2 to win away to a Chelsea side that are likely to be in a period of self discovery long after the away side leave Stamford Bridge.

That means there’s a bit of leeway in Forest on the handicaps and, given they appear to have evolved for the better since drawing home and away with Blues in the season just gone, there’s plenty to like about Steve Cooper’s side with a one-goal head start.

Tip: Nottm Forest (+1) to beat Chelsea @ 21/10

Cottagers’ xG deficiencies likely to come home to roost vs City

Fulham have four points on the board from their three EPL outings so far this season despite conceding five goals so far for their troubles.

Other sides have shipped more, but Marco Silva’s men have the worst xG-against total in the division by a distance at 9.29, 1.51 beyond their closest rivals, as per Understat.

If there were ever an opponent with the potential to take all the opportunities they’ve been giving up, it’s City, who overcame the (-2) handicap in three of their last six home games of 2022/23.

Tip: Man City (-2) vs Fulham @ 5/4