Netherlands vs England tips: Headed goals & a feisty contest in Dortmund

Bettors are advised to bet with their heads to exploit a Dutch weakness

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2 weeks ago

England meet the Netherlands in Dortmund for the second of the Euro 2024 semi-finals and Gareth Southgate’s side are 6/4 favourites to win in normal time.

There are better bets given the Three Lions have won just once without recourse to extra time in five outings so far in Germany, including an angle on exploiting the Oranje’s weakness for conceding a certain type of goal in this tournament.

Netherlands vs England predictions

Both teams to score – Yes @ 23/20

Harry Kane to score anytime @ 2/1

Over 42.5 bookings points @ 5/4

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Both-teams-to-score value for second England knockout game running

Bukayo Saka’s equaliser against the Swiss landed our both teams to score bet last time out in what was the second consecutive England match where both sides bagged.

BTTS is again available at north of even money (23/20) for England’s clash with the Netherlands and there seems little reason to desert the wager in the semi-final.

Three of the Oranje’s five Euro 2024 outings en route to the last four have seen both teams find the net and they pose a goal threat significant enough to hurt Southgate’s men. Only Spain and Germany have scored more than their nine goals at the finals.

Tip: Both teams to score – Yes @ 23/20

Beleaguered England skipper can exploit Dutch header blind-spot

The Netherlands have conceded five goals at Euro 2024 – one per game on average – and they seem to have a particular weakness for shipping headers.

Poland’s Adam Buksa, Austria’s Romano Schmid and most recently Turkey’s Samit Akaydin have all nodded in versus Ronald Koeman’s men, meaning they’ve shipped a header in every game in which they’ve not kept a clean sheet.

Harry Kane looks good value to net anytime at 2/1 as a result. Despite criticism for his lack of movement the England captain leads his side for headed attempts at Goal in the tournament – averaging one per game.

Kane’s also 7/1 to score a header, but the 2/1 about him netting in any legal fashion is more than fair recompense and also harnesses his role as penalty taker as a possible way of landing our bet.

Tip: Harry Kane to score anytime @ 2/1

Caution caution to be thrown to the wind after last eight amnesty

All yellow cards have been wiped following the conclusion of the quarter finals, meaning the only way a player can now miss the final through suspension would be by getting sent off in the semis.

That could well mean the last four surviving teams release the handbrake in disciplinary terms as they go all out to secure their places in the decider and over 42.5 booking points looks a good bet at 5/4 as a result.

Both sides have shown the propensity to fill up the referee’s notebook in the knockout rounds in Germany.

England’s round of 16 clash with Slovakia saw four yellow cards dished out by the 17th minute and a total of six during normal time, while the Netherland’s quarter final win over Turkey saw six cautions brandished – four of which were for the Dutch.

Tip: Over 42.5 bookings points @ 5/4