The Conference Board LEI for the US declined in September, after also contracting in August. Meanwhile, The Conference Board CEI for the US rose slightly in September after remaining unchanged in August, but its six-month growth rate has declined. Taken together, the current behavior of the composite indexes and their components suggest that the expansion in economic activity should continue ...
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US Declined in Both October and November The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US declined by 0.3% in November 2025 to 97.9 (2016=100), after declining by 0.1% in October to 98.2, down from 98.3 in September. Overall, the LEI fell by 1.2% over the six months between May and November 2025, a much more moderate ...
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US inched down by 0.1% in January 2026 to 97.5 (2016=100), following a 0.2% decline in December. Overall, the LEI fell by 1.3% over the six-month period from July 2025 to January 2026, half the rate of decline compared to its –2.6% contraction over the previous six months (January to July 2025). “The U.S. LEI fell further in ...
About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for the global economy. The composite indexes are the key elements in an early warning system to signal peaks and troughs in the global business cycle. The CEI is a monthly metric that is highly correlated with real GDP.
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index ® (LEI) for China decreased by 0.2% in February 2026 to 145.1 (2016=100), after increasing by 0.1% in January. As a result, the LEI contracted by 1.3% over the six-month period from August 2025 to February 2026, after a 1.9% decline over the previous six-month period between February and August 2025. The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index ...