This weekend’s Premier League coupon features a trio of relegation six-pointers as Luton host Brentford and Sheffield United face Burnley on Saturday before Everton welcome Nottingham Forest to Goodison Park for the Sunday lunchtime kick off.
Two of our best bets will be running in a pair of those fraught affairs, while we’re looking to exploit a European hangover in one of Sunday’s games.
Weekend Premier League Tips
Sheff Utd vs Burnley – Red card in the match @ 31/10
Everton vs Nottingham Forest – Under 2.5 goals @ 10/11
Crystal Palace to beat West Ham @ 23/20
Bet on the latest football odds
Value about a low-scoring showdown between under 2.5 goals experts
Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Nottingham Forest represents not only a bona-fide relegation six pointer, but a coming together of two of the EPL’s most regular rewarders of under 2.5 goals bets. Somehow a game featuring two or less remains a backable price at 10/11.
Some 53% of the Toffees’ league outings this term have seen two or fewer netted (the highest percentage in the division), while they also have the lowest home-goals-for total in the EPL (16 in 15 games) but the fifth-best home-goals-against tally (18 in 15 games).
Forest have scored once or less in five of their past six away games in all competitions and lost the reverse fixture 1-0 when the sides met at the City Ground in December
Tip: Everton vs Nottingham Forest – Under 2.5 goals @ 10/11
Early bath a backable price in battle between card collectors of both colours
Sheffield United face Burnley in another of the weekend’s relegation six pointers and find themselves 17/10 underdogs for victory despite hosting the contest at Bramall Lane.
Neither the Blades nor Vincent Kompany’s 7/5 favourites are exactly reliable win-draw-win propositions, but both can be trusted to give red card backers a good run for their money in a game which represents the best remaining chance of gaining three points for either side.
Betzone go 31/10 about a sending off in the match, which seems very fair given Burnley have accumulated a Premier-League-high seven red cards this season, while only Chelsea have picked up more yellows in the competition than Chris Wilder’s men.
Tip: Sheff Utd vs Burnley – Red card in the match @ 31/10
Eagles can build on Anfield shock against Europa-League-worn Irons
Crystal Palace look decent value to beat a West Ham side that gave everything when trying in vain to overcome a scarcely deserved 0-2 Europa League quarter first-leg deficit against newly crowned Bundesliga champions Bayer Leverkusen.
Palace are starting to find their feet under new boss Oliver Glasner and there will have been a buzz around the Eagles’ Beckenham base all week after their 1-0 win over Liverpool at Anfield last Sunday.
The Irons exhibited all the signs of a continental hangover when slipping tamely to a 2-0 home defeat against Fulham in the EPL outing that followed their trip to Germany.
An expectation of similar aftereffects makes them must-oppose material at Selhurst Park given David Moyes’ men have lost six of their last eight away games in all competitions anyhow.
