This weekend’s Premier League betting tips are a cocktail of three parts unexpectedly compelling stats and one part increasingly faithful 2023/24 EPL punting go-to.
Weekend EPL betting tips
Aston Villa to beat Brighton @ 29/20
Pedro Neto (Wolves) assist vs Man City @ 6/1
Tottenham team with most bookings vs Liverpool 6/5
Fulham to beat Chelsea (draw no bet) @ 8/5
Bet on the latest football odds at Betzone
Resurgent Villa have the sign over the Seagulls
The continuing resurgence of Aston Villa may not be garnering the column inches of Brighton’s rise to most-fashionable-club-in-the-EPL status, but they’re certain to have every confidence of turning over their Villa Park visitors having beaten them home and away in each of the last two seasons.
Unai Emery’s side have been confident picks to beat Chelsea and Crystal Palace in recent articles. While their streak of 10 home wins in all competitions ended against Everton in the EFL Cup in midweek their chance of beating Brighton is underrated back in a competition they care about.
Tip: Aston Villa to beat Brighton @ 29/20
Go to Neto for great value against the City defence
Finding a way to profit from Wolves getting on the scoresheet is the gameplan when Manchester City visit Molineux. The champions have conceded at least one goal in 18 of their last 22 away games across all competitions and the last three of their four road assignments so far this season.
The 8/11 for Gary O’Neill’s men netting isn’t exactly inspiring stuff, but the same can’t be said of the 6/1 about Pedro Neto setting up whoever does bag for the hosts. Neto is joint-top of the EPL assist charts with Mohamed Salah and James Maddison (4), joint second in the division for average key passes per game (3) and joint top for accurate cross per game (2.8).
Tip: Pedro Neto (Wolves) assist vs Man City @ 6/1
New, tougher Tottenham nice price to win card count
Ange Postecoglou has been a breath of fresh air for those who love Tottenham and frustratingly likeable for those who loathe them. That the Lilywhites are a more attackingly outfit under the Australian is well publicised. More under the radar is their new mean streak.
Spurs are joint-top of the EPL yellow card table at present with 21 having finished 10th in the same table last year. That’s more than double the yellows Liverpool have been issued with so far – making them well worth backing in the odds against in the ‘most bookings’ market.
Tip: Tottenham team with most bookings vs Liverpool 6/5
Cottagers to ensure Chelsea positivity is shortlived
As mentioned above, we were happy to take on Chelsea when Villa visited Stamford Bridge last weekend and once again a draw no bet price of 8/5 about their opposition looks too good to pass up – Not least because Fulham beat them 2-1 at Craven Cottage last season.
The Cottagers have drawn with Arsenal and Tottenham (two London clubs in far better form the Mauricio Pochettino’s side) this term, suggesting they have every chance of turning over visitors that have lost 3-1 to West Ham and drawn 0-0 at Bournemouth in their two away games so far.
