Scroll down for our best bets and the analysis behind the selections.
Premier League weekend betting tips
• Brentford to beat Southampton @ 17/20
• Brighton (-1) to beat Bournemouth @ 1/1
• Tottenham to beat Manchester City @ 10/3
• £10 treble pays £160.33
Bees will pile more road pain on struggling Saints
It was hard not to do a double take when laying on eyes on the win-draw-win odds for Brentford vs Southampton, with the Bees very generously price for success.
The Saints will turn up at the Gtech Community Stadium wearied from the long midweek trip up to Tyneside to lose their EFL Cup semi-final second leg against Newcastle.
Brentford, on the other hand, have had all week to lick their lips over the prospect of facing opposition who have lost as many Premier League road games as any team in the division so far this season (seven of ten).
Thomas Frank’s men would be sixth in a top-flight table that took only home games into account, having won five and drawn four of 10 outings in front of the faithful. They’ve bagged more home goals than Newcastle and Manchester United in that time too.
The Bees won this fixture 3-0 last term and they’re arguably playing better this time around, while Nathan Jones’ rock-bottom outfit are performing worse.
Bet: Brentford to beat Southampton @ 17/20
Searing Seagulls in the mood to ransack Cherries’ leaky road rearguard
Brighton have hit a rich vein of form under Roberto De Zerbi, winning five of their last seven outings across all competitions. The only loss in that sequence came against league leaders Arsenal.
Goals have been coming easily to the Seagulls, who have notched 21 goals during those seven games through a string of in-form players. Karou Mitoma has struck four times in his last six games, Solly March has notched four in his last seven and Evan Ferguson has three in his last six.
It makes ominous reading for those of a Bournemouth persuasion. The Cherries have conceded an EPL-worst 31 away goals this term and they’d still have the third worst away-goals-against record even if their 9-0 loss at Anfield was stricken from the record books.
Albion have notched two or more in 10 their last 12 games in league and cup action too, making even money about them winning by at least a two-goal margin look a fair price.
Bet: Brighton (-1) to beat Bournemouth @ 1/1
Tottenham’s City slaying track record hard to ignore
Manchester City have been the dominant force in Premier League football for the last five years, winning four out of five league titles on offer in that timeframe.
That just makes Tottenham’s home record against them all the more improbable and all the more impressive. The Lilywhites have beaten City in north London in each of the last four seasons. How many goals did they give up to Pep Guardiola’s men in that time? Zero.
Those wins to nil came under the management of Mauricio Pochettino, Jose Mourinho and even Nuno Espirito Santo, but there’s plenty of reason to believe Antonio Conte can keep the streak alive.
The Italian has won three of his six career managerial head-to-heads with Guardiola, suggesting he’s more than capable of plotting City’s downfall.
Spurs were the better side for 45 minutes at the Etihad in January, going in at half-time 2-0 to the good. The Manchester side reacted to being read the riot act at the interval with four second-half goals on that occasion, but away from home that kind of response may not be so easy to muster.
The reigning champions have won just six of their 13 away games in all competitions this season and failed to win four out of nine in the Premier League.
