Premier League predictions: Back in-form goalscorers and Chelsea cautions

This weekend’s football tips feature a brace of goalscorers and a cards selection

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betzone

3 weeks ago

There are occasions in football betting where the odds about a team you fancy are both too long and not long enough at the same time.

This weekend wins for Luton, Wolves and Chelsea fall into that category. Our Premier League betting tips focus on other, better value ways to be with those sides in their fixtures.

Premier League betting tips

Elijah Adebayo (Luton) to score vs Sheff Utd @ 23/20

Matheus Cunha (Wolves) to score vs Brentford @ 2/1

Chelsea to have most bookings vs Crystal Palace @ 11/10

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Imposing Luton forward can extend his purple patch against ideal foes

Luton Town are in competitive form at present having won three and drawn three of their last six outings across all competitions but the 8/11 about them beating Sheffield United at Kenilworth Road still feels a pinch too short – even if the Blades have lost four of their last five league games.

The 23/20 about the Hatters’ in-form striker Elijah Adebayo scoring at Kenilworth Road feels like a better way of siding with Rob Edwards’ men. The towering 24-year-old has netted six times in his last four Premier League games, including a hat-trick in his last home outing against Brighton.

Adebayo should get plenty of chances now that Ross Barkley has really begun to pull the strings in the Luton midfield and he’s likely to take one of them against visitors who have conceded 12 more goals than any other side in the top flight this term – a massive 59 in 23 games.

Tip: Elijah Adebayo (Luton) to score vs Sheff Utd @ 23/20

Brentford will struggle to keep Wolves’ on-fire Brazilian off the scoresheet

Matheus Cunha scored just one league goal in 17 games for Wolves on loan from Atletico Madrid last term but the club’s decision to make the move permanent is beginning to look very shrewd.

The increasingly influential Brazilian is thriving under Gary O’Neill, with nine goals and five assists to show for his last 15 outings for the club.

Most recently he swelled his tally with a well-taken hat-trick away at Chelsea and odds of 2/1 look to underrate his chance of bagging against Brentford, especially given he’s now taking penalties.

Tip: Matheus Cunha (Wolves) to score vs Brentford @ 2/1

Chelsea better value to win the card count than the contest at Selhurst Park

This season there can’t be many punters who have avoided getting on the wrong side of Chelsea’s infuriating inconsistency, but away from the win-draw-win market there is one thing for which it appears they can be relied upon. Picking up cards.

Mauricio Pochettino’s side have the worst disciplinary record in the Premier League having accumulated 73 yellows and three reds so far this season. The Blues indiscipline is particularly notable on the road, where they’ve picked up 39 cautions and a dismissal in just 11 games.

By contrast only three sides have picked up less than hosts Crystal Palace’s 40 yellow cards this season. Chelsea are 10/11 to take all three points in south London, but there looks to be better value about them coming out on top when it comes to the number of names in the referees’ notebook.

Tip: Chelsea to have most bookings vs Crystal Palace @ 11/10