The Betzone traders have the Champions League Final priced up like a foregone conclusion, with treble-seeking Manchester City ⅕ to lift the trophy and 4/9 to win in normal time.
Yet Pep Guardiola’s side were far from their fluid best in their FA Cup Final win against Manchester United and face an Inter Milan team that have won 11 of their last 12 in all competitions, including the Coppa Italia decider against Fiorentina.
Our Man City vs Inter predictions foresee a game every bit as tight as recent Champions League Finals, with a Cityzen who may depart this summer playing a decisive role.
Manchester City vs Inter Milan tips
City to win & Under 2.5 Goals @ 13/5
Ilkay Gundogan to score @ 11/4
Ederson to be carded @ 17/5
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Guardiola’s men can make history but it won’t be pretty
Champions League Finals have often been low-scoring affairs in recent years. The last four UCL deciders have each produced under 2.5 goals in normal time with the last three all won by a 1-0 margin.
City are unlikely to be cutting loose against an Inter side that typically deploy a 3-5-2 that can very easily become a 5-3-2 without the ball. Playing this system the Italians have kept clean sheets in five of their last six games in the competition.
However, a formline through Bayern Munich suggests City should ultimately have enough to find a way through. Bayern beat the Nerazzurri 2-0 home and away in the group stage, but came up short against City, losing their two-legged quarter-final 4-1 on aggregate.
Tip: City to win & Under 2.5 Goals @ 13/5
In-form City skipper can continue prolific potential swansong
This game could be Manchester City captain Ilkay Gundogan’s last one for the club. The German international is keeping the gossip columns well stocked with speculation ahead of his contract expiring on June 30.
If this is to be his last season at the Etihad, the 32-year-old has set about signing off in style, notching six times in his last six outings by way of three braces. The most recent of those doubles saw him win the FA Cup for his teammates.
As adept at striking opportunistically from outside the 18-yard box as he is at arriving into the penalty area or six-yard box at just the right time, his routes to the net are numerous. Nigh-on 3/1 about him scoring his seventh goal in seven outings looks more than fair.
Tip: Ilkay Gundogan to score @ 11/4
Stopper is a big card candidate if City get narrow lead
If Guardiola’s side are to shade a game of fine margins as anticipated, the likelihood of goalkeeper Ederson taking his time getting up after collecting crosses or in taking goal kicks will increase the closer City get to the prize that has thus far eluded them.
The Brazilian custodian has already picked up four yellow cards this season, with three of them coming for time-wasting, including in the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final against Bayern Munich.