The Euro 2024 quarter-finals present two bonafide blockbuster clashes in Spain vs Germany and France vs Portugal but we expect at least one to be short on fun.
Our quarter-final best bets include the already alluded to unders play, plus another goal for a midfielder earning plenty of opportunities and an underdog that looks overpriced on the strength of a very relevant formline.
Euro 2024 Group Stage third round tips
France vs Portugal under 1.5 goals @ 8/5
Fabian Ruiz (Spain) to score vs Germany 15/2
Turkey to beat Netherlands (draw no bet) @ 31/10
Bet on the latest Euro 2024 odds & markets at Betzone
Read our England vs Switzerland best bets here
Bank on a dour one and a half hours with France vs Portugal
France’s clash with Portugal should be every bit as mouth-watering a clash of footballing powerhouses as Spain vs Italy – but a war of attrition is more likely.
Les Bleus have arguably been getting the job done with even less elan than England so far, scoring just three times in four games – two own goals and a penalty.
However, they’ve only shipped once (also a spot-kick) and with three of their four ties yielding under 1.5 goals it’s worth backing their quarter-final to follow suit at 8/5.
Portugal were held 0-0 by Slovenia before winning their round of 16 match on penalties and should find themselves cancelled out again versus a better calibre of defensively-minded opponent.
Tip: France vs Portugal under 1.5 goals @ 8/5
PSG midfield maestro is value to continue his scoring exploits
Fabian Ruiz is having a great year in front of goal for Spain netting three times in five internationals with two of those coming in three outings so far at Euro 2024. The 28-year-old looks generously priced to score again at 15/2.
That two-in-three ratio at the tournament puts him up there in with joint top scorers Cody Gakpo, Georges Mikautadze, Ivan Schranz and Jamal Musiala (all three in four) in terms of effectiveness.
Only Cristiano Ronaldo and Kylian Mbappe have averaged more shots per game than the Paris Saint-Germain man going into the quarterfinals and more chances are certain to come his way.
La Roja lead the charts for average shots per game (20.5) and average shots on target per game (7.5) in Germany.
Tip: Fabian Ruiz (Spain) to score vs Germany 15/2
Turks can continue historic run against deceptive Dutch
The Netherlands have been a difficult team to get a read on at this tournament.
On the one hand they were denied victory over France in the groups due to a dubious offside call, on the other they shipped three in losing to Austria and needed late goals to secure a win over Poland and gild their last 16 win over Romania.
Where the Oranje were overrun by Austria’s high-intensity pressing game, Vincenzo Montella’s Turkey were able to largely neutralise them and perhaps could have won by more when the sides faced off in Leipzig at the round of 16 stage.
On that form line alone Turkey shouldn’t be 17/4 to best the Netherlands and they have to be backed at what’s still a generous 31/10, with the draw no bet concession.
