The final round of the Champions League group stage 2023/24 is here and there remains plenty to play for with Celtic and Royal Antwerp the only sides that don’t hold out a hope of qualification for the Europa League knockout rounds at the very least.
Our Champions League betting tips for the sixth round of group games have found value where fixtures appear to have been priced up more on reputation than results in this year’s competition.
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Don’t dismiss dangerous Danes in last-16 ticket tussle
FC Copenhagen lead the chasing pack behind Bayern Munich in Group A. Jess Thorup’s men have one point more than Manchester United and are ahead of Galatasaray on goal difference.
Despite this, it’s Gala that are 13/10 favourites for three points here. Never mind the fact that a draw would be enough for Copenhagen to qualify. Never mind the fact that the Danes were minutes from a 2-0 win in Istanbul prior to shipping 86th and 88th minute goals.
Bayern were pushed all the way when they came to Parken, only prevailing 2-1 thanks to an 83rd minute winner, while United were beaten 4-3 in the Danish capital. That’s got to give the hosts a fair crack at victory and a historic knock out round qualification.
Dine on Dortmund at home to troubled travellers PSG
Paris Saint-Germain are 17/20 to win away to Dortmund but appear to be priced up on past pedigree rather than recent form. Already beaten 4-1 away at Newcastle and 2-1 away at Milan, they seek their first road points of the section at Signal Iduna Park.
Dortmund have already qualified for the last 16 but will be in no mood to roll over for les Parisens knowing that finishing top of Group F should help them avoid the biggest fish in the draw.
A point will be enough for them to assure that position but given PSG’s away form in the competition (not to mention their history of UCL self-sabotage), keeping both the home win and the draw on side at odds just shy of evens is the percentage play here.
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona far from a fortress for Napoli
Napoli’s perennially formidable home form appears to have deserted them this season with the Azzurri having won just twice across nine games in all competitions in front of their own fans.
The Serie A champions are 4/9 favourites to defeat Braga despite going seven home games without a win and losing four of their last six in Naples. Walter Mazzari’s men did beat their opponents 2-1 in Portugal but only by virtue of an 88th minute Sikou Niakate own goal.
Braga are capable on the road with their 3-2 win at Union Berlin one of 10 away wins from 13 attempts across all competitions this term. That makes near 2/1 about them to avoid defeat an appealing bet.
They certainly won’t be lacking in motivation. A big win would be enough to see them overhaul Napoli for second spot, while three points are also required to definitively nail down a Europa League knockout berth.