French Open finals predictions: Best bets for Women’s & Men’s deciders

The French Open finals best bets include a first-set shutout & an underdog win

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1 week ago

This weekend serves up both the French Open singles finals, with Iga Swiatek aiming to win her third successive title against Jasmine Paolini and Carlos Alcaraz facing off against Alexander Zverev for Roland Garros glory.

Saturday’s women’s decider has eyeing up an audacious first-set correct score in search of value, while the even nature of Sunday’s men’s showpiece suggests a more orthodox wager.

French Open Final predictions

Iga Swiatek to win the first set 6-0 @ 7/1

Alex Zverev to beat Carlos Alcaraz @ 5/2

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Peerless pole can inflict another first set bagel

Aside from Iga Swiatek’s epic 7-6, 1-6, 7-5 second round win over Naomi Osaka, the two-time defending champion’s progress to the final has been serene and she is just 1/16 to beat surprise package Jasmine Paolini on Philippe-Chatrier.

Swiatek lost only 13 games against the other five adversaries she bested en route to Saturday’s championship match and seems to have become more merciless as the tournament has worn on.

The 23-year-old commenced the second week by double-bagelling world number 41 Anastasia Potapova in round four, before registering another 6-0 set in the opener of her last eight date with Marketa Vondrousova.

Value bets are tough to source in a match as lopsided as Swiatek vs Paolini, but at 7/1 the Pole to win the first set without dropping a game makes fair appeal.

Prior this year 28-year-old Paolini had never been beyond the second round of a Slam, meaning there’s plenty of potential for her to be totally overawed and she lost the second set 6-0 when the pair last clashed at the US Open in 2022.

Tip: Iga Swiatek to win the first set 6-0 @ 7/1

Underdog offers value given even head-to-head

Carlos Alcaraz is a 3/10 favourite to beat Alex Zverev and land his first French Open title and third Grand Slam success overall, but there’s a lot to like about the underdog.

Zverev is 5/2 to bag his maiden major, which looks big given he leads the pair’s career head-to-head 5-4. The giant German has emerged victorious from two of their three meetings since the start of 2023 and beat the Spaniard at Roland Garros in 2022.

The selection was also the beneficiary of the less energy sapping semi-final, with the last two sets of his last-four clash with Casper Ruud one-sided as the Norwegian battled stomach trouble.

In contrast, Alcaraz came through a five-set epic against Jannik Sinner, who was undoubtedly the most in-form player in the world coming into the match.

Tip: Alex Zverev to beat Carlos Alcaraz @ 5/2