Weekend Premier League tips: Three value takes on home favourites

Clean sheets can add value to Newcastle and Brighton wins

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1 week ago

The Premier League coupon isn’t expected to produce many away wins this weekend, with home favourites in every fixture barring Aston Villa’s visit to rock bottom Southampton.

Nottingham Forest look the pick of the straight win bets at home to Everton, while value is extracted from Newcastle and Brighton’s assignments via a clean sheet kicker.

Premier League weekend best bets

Nottingham Forest to beat Everton @ 21/20
Newcastle to beat Man Utd & BTTS – No @ 21/10
Brighton to beat Leicester & BTTS – No @ 10/11

Bet on the latest English football odds at Betzone

Back dream-chasing Forest to edge past competitive Everton

It’s far from ordinary to be able to back the third best team in the Premier League to beat the 15th at odds-against, but Nottingham Forest fans can attest to this being no ordinary season.

Everton visit them at the City Ground on a run of one defeat in eight league games, with that defeat a 1-0 loss away to champions-elect Liverpool.

Yet the Toffees have drawn six of those eight and conceded at least once in every one. A single goal could well be all Forest need to prevail given their defensive record on home soil.

Nuno Espirito Santo’s side have shut out Arsenal, Man City and Man Utd in their last three home league games, beating the last two.

Tip: Nottingham Forest to beat Everton @ 21/20

Newcastle to turn over guests with Europa preoccupations

Many may have expected Newcastle to be suffering from a Carabao Cup winning hangover at home to Brentford last week – not a bit of it.

The Magpies have their sights set on Champions League qualification and have a game in hand on fourth-place Chelsea, who they only trail on goal difference

Eddie Howe’s men are understandably 4/6 to beat Manchester United in a fixture sandwiched between the first and second legs of the Red Devils’ Europa League quarter-final against Lyon.

Newcastle have beaten United to nil in four of the clubs’ last five encounters and backing them to repeat the dose looks a fair way to bump up odds on the home win up to 21/10, against opposition that have blanked in their last two Premier League games.

Tip: Newcastle to beat Man Utd & under 2.5 goals @ 21/10

Foxes blank is the value add-on for a bet on Seagulls success

Leicester have now lost 15 of their last 16 Premier League games and their grim slide to relegation has been all the more miserable for a near complete absence of goal threat.

The Foxes haven’t found the net for eight consecutive top-flight outings so it’s no surprise that a capable Brighton side are just 1/4 to beat them at the Amex Stadium.

What does raise eyebrows though is that adding ‘both teams to score – No’ to the home win boosts the odds to a far more competitive 10/11. Against a side who struggle to find the net as much as Leicester, that has to be a decent bet.

Tip: Brighton to beat Leicester & BTTS – No @ 10/11